Wednesday, January 9, 2008

Where do we go from here?

First of all, congratulations to Senator McCain on last night's victory in the New Hampshire primary. Considering he was supposed to be DOA a while ago, it was hard for me not to smile as I saw this American patriot make a victory speech. If nothing else, he will always have New Hampshire.

Also, Hillary is still alive and kicking. It was frankly both a baldly political moment and a very humanizing one to see Hillary cry. Is this what propelled her over the top, or were all the polls simply wrong? I don't know... what I do know is, this is one campaign cycle for the ages.

Which brings us back to Governor Huckabee. I know he didn't break too high above the double-digit threshold, but then, no one expected him to in New Hampshire. What's amazing is that he turned out 20,000 voters and got as small a percentage as he did. The independents must really like McCain. (Is this a validation of the surge strategy? I'd like to believe so.)

Frankly, last night's McCain victory may actually be a boost to Huckabee... Romney lost yet again, despite home court advantage, lots of money, and the lead in the polls for months that was yet again blown. Romney has trouble closing the deal; we've seen this twice in two contests so far. Romney is not that electable- he lost his 1994 Senate race to Ted Kennedy and then won one election to be governor. Most pundits predict he would not win again if he ran for re-election. To be fair, this is Massachusetts we're talking about, where Republican voters are outnumbered. Still, in contrast to Gov. Huckabee, Romney seems to have burnt bridges. His electoral inexperience is a liability, whereas Huckabee's experience against Clinton is a definite net plus.

So from here, it's on to Michigan and then South Carolina. Michigan is the X factor; I actually think Huckabee's message could sell very well here. Will he sell it? We'll see. If Romney doesn't win here, he's toast.

South Carolina will be ugly. If Huckabee wins, he's in great stead for Florida. A double win in SC and FL will pretty much make the Gov a sure-shot for the nomination.

Here's an article from the American Spectator, calling the conservative elites on their anti-Huck bias. That's all!

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